File photo of an oil terminal in Nigeria. The country is Africa’s top oil producer. Photo: AFP
By Chijioke Ohuocha
Abuja: Nigeria has overtaken South Africa as Africa’s largest
economy after a rebasing calculation nearly doubled its gross domestic
product (GDP), data from the statistics office showed on Sunday.
GDP for 2013 in Africa’s top oil producer totalled 80.3
trillion naira, or $509.9 billion, the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics
said, an increase from the 42.3 trillion estimated before the rebasing.
The new figure shrank Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio to 11% for 2013, against 19% in 2012, statistics chief Yemi Kale told reporters in the capital of Abuja.
Most governments overhaul GDP calculations every few
years to reflect changes in output and consumption, but Nigeria had not
done so since 1990, so sectors such as e-commerce, mobile phones and its
prolific “Nollywood” film industry had to be newly factored in to give a
more accurate picture.
Growing attention from foreign investors was forcing
Nigeria to more accurately calculate its statistics, including GDP, Kale
said, adding that the base year would now be recalibrated every five
years, in line with global norms.
Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country with 170 million
people, has been growing as a destination for foreign investors owing to
the size of its consumer market and increasingly sophisticated capital
markets.
But political risk as Nigeria approaches hotly contested
elections in February next year remains a concern, as does a bloody
insurgency waged by Islamist sect Boko Haram in the country’s poor and
underdeveloped northeast.
President Goodluck Jonathan’s suspension in February of respected central bank chief Lamido Sanusi after he had publicly questioned massive oil revenue leakages from the state oil firm did not impress debt and equity investors, some of whom sold off holdings.
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